NMDC Limited - Stock Investment Idea | Weekly Pick

08 Sep 2025
NMDC Limited - Stock Investment Idea | Weekly Pick

NMDC has built a strong base in the ₹60–₹70 zone and recently broke out of consolidation, closing above anchored VWAP and POC levels with strong volume support. RSI breakout above 60 and a bullish MACD crossover confirm upside momentum. Accumulate ₹72–₹76 for targets of ₹85–₹92. Stop loss: ₹66.

Expert recommendation by Mr. Ketan Kaushik - Derivative Analyst (NISM - 202200162803)

  • Current Price: ₹74.5
  • Buying Price: ₹72-76
  • Target Price: ₹85-92
  • Stop loss: ₹66
  • Upside: 23%
  • Time Frame: 6-8 Weeks

Stock Technical Analysis

  • Stock made an all-time high at 95 in May24 and after making highs stock had witnessed deep correction and made a base in 60-70 zone
  • Stock has given a breakout from the consolidation zone and closed above anchored VWAP resistance level
  • Stock has closed above POC (Point of control) line which indicates buying interest with volume support
  • Momentum indicator RSI has given a breakout above 60 level and MACD has also given bullish crossover above 0 level on the daily chart, which indicates upside momentum is likely to continue in the coming days

Traders can look to accumulate NMDC in the 72-76 zone and expect upside targets of 85-92 in 6-8 weeks with stop loss below 66 (closing basis).

NMDC Limited Technical Chart Analysis Stock Investment Idea  Weekly Pick

Know more about NMDC Limited – India’s Flagbearer of Metal Mining & Strategic Expansion

Website: www.nmdc.co.in

Sector: Metals & Mining | Headquarters: Hyderabad, Telangana | Founded: 1958

Core Business Segments & Assets

  • Iron Ore Mining: NMDC stands as India’s largest iron ore producer, with fully mechanized mines in Chhattisgarh (Bailadila) and Karnataka (Donimalai), producing over 40 million tonnes annually—accounting for ~20% of India’s output.
  • Diversified Mineral Portfolio: The company explores a wide mix—including copper, rock phosphate, limestone, magnesite, diamonds (notably India’s only mechanized diamond mine at Panna), graphite, beach sands, and more.
  • Value-Added Products & Energy: Beyond mining, NMDC produces pellets, sponge iron (through NMDC Steel Ltd.), hot-rolled coils, generates solar and wind power, and delivers integrated steel via its Nagarnar plant

Competitive Edge & Sustainability

  • Navratna PSU Legacy: As a “Navratna” central public sector enterprise, NMDC benefits from policy support and operational stability under the Ministry of Steel.
  • Sustainable Practices & Awards: Mines receive top-tier 5-star ratings from Indian Bureau of Mines; R&D Centre—recognized as a UNIDO Centre of Excellence—drives innovation in beneficiation and sustainable mining.
  • Operational Milestones: FY 2024 saw highest-ever iron ore production, ramped evacuations via a 10 MTPA rapid wagon loading system, and completion of major CapEx (~₹2,066 cr).

Strengths vs. Watchpoints

StrengthsHighlights
Scale & Market DominanceLeading iron ore miner with long-term contracts securing stability.
DiversificationDiamond mining, steel, power, international asset exploration.
Robust FinancialsStrong top-line growth, consistent profitability.
CapEx-Driven Growth StrategyHigh-capacity expansion across downstream value chain.
Sustainability InitiativesEco-conscious mining and recognized R&D infrastructure.

Key Risks:

  • Commodity Cyclicality: Iron ore prices and global demand can fluctuate markedly.
  • CapEx Execution Risk: Large-scale spending raises concerns about timely execution and ROI.
  • Regulatory & Environmental Pressures: Mining near sensitive zones (e.g., Panna) may draw scrutiny.
  • Operational Complexities in Diversification: New overseas and coal ventures bring governance and integration challenges.
  • Valuation Volatility: Q4 decline and CapEx risks may pressure future valuation stability.

What Investors Should Note

NMDC is a cornerstone of India's mining infrastructure, with unmatched scale, solid financials, and ambitious expansion plans that extend into steel, energy, and global raw materials. Its Navratna status, eco-efficiency, and capacity-building momentum make it a compelling long-term play. However, investors should balance optimism with prudence—monitor execution, commodity cycles, and regulatory environments closely.

Disclaimer - Investments in securities market are subject to market risk, read all the related document carefully before investing.       
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    Monarch Networth Capital Limited (‘MNCL’) | CIN No.: L64990GJ1993PLC120014

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  • Complete name of entity registered with SEBI as Portfolio Manager:Monarch Networth Capital Limited
    Type of Registration (Individual, Non-Individual):Non-Individual
    PMS Registration No.:INP000006059
    Corporate Identification No.:L64990GJ1993PLC120014
    Principal Place of Business:301-302, 3rd Floor, Arunachal Building, Barakhamba Road, New Delhi - 110001
    Registered Office Address:Unit No. 803-804A, 8th Floor, X-Change Plaza, Block No. 53, Zone 5, Road-5E, Gift City, Gandhinagar, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India, 382050
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    Registration Date :April 23, 2020
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    Corporate Identification Number:L64990GJ1993PLC120014
    Principal Place of Business:4th FLoor, B Wing, Laxmi Tower, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai-400051
    Registered office address:Unit No. 803-804A, 8th Floor, X-Change Plaza, Block No. 53, Zone 5, Road-5E, Gift City, Gandhinagar, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India, 382050

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    Registered office address: Unit No. 803-804A, 8th Floor, X-Change Plaza, Block No. 53, Zone 5, Road-5E, Gift City, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India, 382050
    Principal Place of Business: 4th FLoor, B Wing, Laxmi Tower, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai-400051
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    Monarch Networth Capital Limited

    Registered Address

    Unit No. 803-804A, 8th Floor, X-Change Plaza, Block No. 53, Zone 5, Road-5E, Gift City, Gandhinagar - 382050, Gujarat

    Corporate Address

    Ahmedabad

    “Monarch House”, Opp Prahladbhai Patel garden, Near Ishwar Bhuvan, Commerce Six Roads, Navrangpura, Ahmedabad – 380009

    Mumbai

    Monarch Networth Capital Limited, G Block, Laxmi Tower, B Wing, 4th Floor, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai - 400051.

    Phone: 022 - 66476400 / 66476405

    Email: cs@mnclgroup.com

    Contact Details

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