JNK India Ltd - Diversification provides improved growth visibility | Q1FY27 Company Update
JNK’s 1QFY27 performance was a miss to our revenue estimates, due to a seasonally slow start to the year. Margins were strong for the heating equipment business, although it was dragged down by an operating loss at the Chemdist JV. We expect order execution to improve strongly in 2HFY27E along with margin improvement as the Chemdist JV turns profitable. With a robust order book of ~Rs 18bn, backed by the Ultra-mega BPCL Bina order (to be executed by Feb’28) and improving export opportunities, we believe JNK has secured not only strong growth for FY27E but also meaningful visibility for FY28E. Further, we will keep a close watch on conversion of large export opportunities especially from Dangote refinery, where JNK has an established past track record and once received, can augment growth for FY28E. JNK’s announcement to enter for EPC projects for other industries i.e. general engg., metals, mining, marine, etc. provides improved growth visibility due to diversification. This has led to an increase in our target multiple to 28x (previously 25x), leading to a TP of Rs 530 (previously Rs 460). Remain positive and maintain BUY rating due to attractive valuations.
JNK India ltd. Stock Price Chart
Strong revenue growth; although a seasonally slow quarter:
JNK reported an 82% yoy growth in 1QFY27 revenue at Rs 1.8bn, below our estimate of Rs 2.7bn. Although 1Q is a seasonally slow quarter for the heating equipment industry, growth was led by execution of Reliance, HPCL and BPCL Bina order. The company additionally benefited from smoother execution under the cost-based revenue recognition framework for new projects. Revenue contribution from the Chemists JV stood at Rs 165mn in 1QFY27 (not present in 1QFY26).
Healthy margins by main business, pulled down by JV:
EBITDA margins increased by 544bps yoy to 8.8% in 1QFY27, due to majority contribution from high-margin new orders. The margins in the heating equipment business are much higher pull was dragged down on consolidation due to a loss in the Chemdist JV. The EBITDA grew by 372% yoy to Rs 159mn. PAT grew 754% yoy to Rs 96mn, although on a very low base.
Growth visibility remains up to FY28E; export pipeline remains key monitorable:
JNK closed 1QFY27 with order books of ~Rs 18bn, which provides strong visibility for FY27E and meaningful support for FY28E growth as well. We expect project execution to improve in 9MFY27E, especially for the BPCL Bina project which is expected to be 50% completed by Mar’27. The margins are expected to further improve in 2HFY27E with Chemdist turning profitable. The export pipeline remains robust with ~Rs 60bn of opportunities across Middle East, Africa, Russia and fertilizer projects, including the Dangote refinery expansion opportunity. We will keep a close watch on the bid book pipeline, which can further improve growth for FY28E & FY29E. JNK’s venture into EPC projects for metals, mining, marine, general engg. certainly, provides diversification and improved visibility for growth. JNK has already started bidding for these projects with a technology partner and is expected to be a gradual conversion in order booking. This diversification provides improved growth visibility over longer term, in turn leading to upgrade in our valuation multiple to 28x (25x previously). Remain positive on JNK.
Valuation and rating:
We value JNK at 28x (previously 35x) Jun’28E PAT to arrive at TP of Rs 530 (Rs 460 previously). We retain the BUY rating due to attractive valuations. Increase in TP is due to upward revision in target multiple and valuation rollover. Key risks: Delay in new order bookings and order execution.
Company website: https://www.jnkindia.com/
| Rating | BUY |
|---|---|
| CMP* | INR 419 |
| Target Price | INR 530 |
| Upside | 26% |
*CMP is as per report published date
Click to download the full JNK India Ltd. Q1FY27 Company Update
Analyst:
- Sahil Sanghvi - Research Analyst, Institutional Equities (NISM-201900004744)
- Uvais Khatri - Research Associate, Institutional Equities (NISM-202300049054)
FAQs on JNK India Ltd. Q1FY27 Company Update
What is the target price for JNK India?
The supplied research sets a target price of ₹530 per share, compared with the reported CMP of ₹419. The target represents the research firm's valuation view and is not a guaranteed return.
What is the rating on JNK India?
The supplied research maintains a BUY rating on JNK India, citing attractive valuations, a strong order book, improving execution and diversification-led growth visibility.
How did JNK India perform in 1QFY27?
JNK India's revenue increased 82% year-on-year to ₹1.8 billion. EBITDA rose 372% to ₹159 million, while PAT increased 754% to ₹96 million, although PAT growth benefited from a low base.
What is JNK India's current order book?
JNK India closed 1QFY27 with an order book of approximately ₹18 billion, providing visibility for FY27E and meaningful support for FY28E growth, according to the supplied research.
What are the key growth drivers for JNK India?
Key growth drivers include execution of the BPCL Bina order, improving project execution, export opportunities, potential Chemdist JV profitability and diversification into EPC projects across metals, mining, marine and general engineering.
What is the export opportunity for JNK India?
The research identifies an export pipeline of approximately ₹60 billion across the Middle East, Africa, Russia and fertilizer projects. The Dangote refinery expansion opportunity is highlighted as an important monitorable.
What are the key risks for JNK India?
The key risks identified in the supplied research are delays in new order bookings and delays in order execution, which could affect the company's growth outlook.
Should investors buy JNK India shares?
The supplied research maintains a BUY rating. This is the research firm's view and should not be considered personalized investment advice or a guarantee of future performance. Investors should conduct independent due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser where appropriate.
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